Dean's Analysis of Ongoing Issues

Instant Runoff Voting to the Rescue!

Health Insurance

Disputes over the vote counting in Florida triggered weeks of lawsuits after the 2000 Presidential election. We could have avoided the hassle by using the Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) system in Florida and other states.

The vote percentage of Florida is shown above.

No one received a majority (50.01%) of the vote. Instead of declaring a candidate with a mere plurality of the vote the winner, we should have a runoff between the top two vote getters, something done in many local contests. But, instead of holding a second election, we can ask voters two indicate a second and third preference at the same time they vote for their first.

IRV first uses the votes the last-place finisher (here, Buchanan) to add votes to the remaining candidates.

Who would each of Buchanan’s 17,472 voters have made their second preference? Given Buchanan and Bush’s agreement on the pro-life position on abortion, most probably would have picked Bush. Another segment might have chosen Nader since he and Buchanan agreed that NAFTA was a mistake. Still others might not have made a second preference.

Those second preferences would be translated to the three remaining candidates as shown in the chart below:

Since we still have no majority, the count moves to the next phase. The remaining ballots in which no one made a second preference would then be disqualified. So, too, would Nader since he is now in last place. His votes would be checked for second preferences. Since IRV looks to the “next preference”, Buchanan’s ballots that picked Nader second would also be checked for third preferences. On the other hand, ballots listing Buchanan first and either Gore or Bush second would not be checked further at this time since those two are still in the running.

How would each of Nader’s followers decide upon a second preference? Despite Nader’s comments that he did not care if he cost Gore the election, his followers would likely view Gore as much more palatable to Bush for environmental reasons, if nothing else. The whole idea of Nader “spoiling” the election for Gore does not come into play here. To win, Gore would need to receive 10,000 more of Nader voter second preferences.

See the Center for Voting and Democracy for more information on IRV.

My August 2002 poll asked how much sacrifice we as taxpayers are willing to make to get something that many of us want: health care for all. I have listed answers ranging from 0 to 10 percent.  My point is that the people should communicate to the government what services they want and what they are willing to pay for them.

I stole this concept from Wes, a classmate at the University of California at Irvine.  He lamented that the government first tells us on California ballot initiatives how much they will spend on a program (like the construction of freeways), then asks us to respond YES or NO.  He suggested that the people should be allowed to respond the extent of their interest in a project.  (Wes, if you happen to be reading this, e-mail me a line!)

The government should conduct a referendum like this and apply the results to its policy.  In this case, the government would raise taxes by the aggregate result of 5.75% (see Polls - August).  If the resulting revenue did not cover all uninsured taxpayers, it should then prioritize them by their inability to secure their own health insurance, with those unable to secure, whether for monetary reasons or because of pre-existing illnesses, grouped first.

To implement the plan, the government should use the revenues to establish a Federal Division of Health Insurance within the Department of Health and Human Services.  It would be mandated to cover those in the priority groups, regardless of their health condition.  Premiums would be assessed by flat percentage of their income levels.

Some may argue that the new health care system would involve too much government.  Others might say we should look to the private sector to cover the uninsured.  I disagree for the following reasons:

First, the government can mandate coverage of those who get turned away by private companies.  The private sector can and does refuse people with certain illnesses on the grounds that they are unprofitable patients.

Second, the government is not out to make a profit.  Its responsibility is to provide services at a reasonable cost.

Third, the government has a duty to help the needy.  People who have no health insurance through no fault of their own fit into this category.

 

Balancing the Budget

As a candidate, Ronald Reagan said he would cut taxes, raise defense spending and balance the budget.  After a large tax break in 1981, his first year in office, and a steady increase in spending, particularly in defense, the record at the end of Reagan’s two terms showed no balanced budgets and a tripling in the national debt.

If we’re fooled once, shame on them.

President George W. Bush cut taxes in his first year in office.  He has asked Congress for large sums of money on defense, security and other matters.  The result: at the end of Fiscal Year 2002, the first full year of Bush policies, the budget shows a deficit of $165 billion.

If we’re fooled twice, shame on us.

Voters should not be fooled by President Bush’s recent assertion that his Administration could balance the budget with tax cuts and “hold[ing] the line on spending” other than defense and homeland security.  All one need do is look at the budget, courtesy of the National Debt Awareness Center (see chart below):

Will Bush hold the line on Health and Human Services (HHS), which has spent more than any other department this fiscal year (27% of the budget)?  No way – too many people benefit from payments for welfare, Medicare and the like for the public to stand for cuts here.

How about the Department of Treasury (Treas.)?  Not here either – we have no choice but to pay the interest on the debt, which consumes most of this Department’s $395 billions of dollars.

The Department of Defense (DoD)?  No, he said he would not hold spending here, especially during the "War against Terrorism" and Iraq.

Or the spending listed under “Other”?  Wrong again.  The public will not tolerate significant cuts in spending on Veteran’s Affairs, the Department of Justice (which includes the FBI), the Department of Interior (which oversees national parks), etc.  As I point out in my book, Truth Matters: How the Voters Can Take Back Their Nation, the strong public need for services and the increase in population will check any attempt by the government to reduce its spending.

That leaves us with the taxes.  Like Reagan, Candidate Bush campaigned in part on a pledge to cut taxes.  He cannot abandon this pledge without offending his strongest supporters.

The public has two choices:  It can accept the tax cuts and watch spending continue to increase.  Deficits will continue and increase our debt and interest payments.

Or, the public can say no to the tax cuts and agree to sacrifice now in order to reduce our debt later.  Shame on us if we don’t get it right this time

Woe unto Hypocrites!

Several members of the media do not practice what they preach.  Find out who they are by clicking Hypocrites